Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at PTM Store Championships
decks
3
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-7-0
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.5%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1223
· median 1231
· range 1128–1309
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1098
Q1 1153
Q3 1335
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Fire Exia | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.6% | -9.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Fire Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Suited | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +3.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.0% | +3.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
